![]() ![]() The National Hurricane Center is aware of the shortcomings in communicating uncertainty. They went with the track down the middle, but the cone underestimated the actual uncertainty.” Some models were predicting it landing in the Carolinas, some the Northeast U.S., and some out to sea. “But for Joaquin,” said Sobel, “the models were all over the place. If most models agree about the storm’s future, the certainty may actually be higher than what’s portrayed by the cone. The specific uncertainty for the storm comes from how differently the various weather models are forecasting it. Rather, it’s based on the accuracy of the NHC’s previous forecasts. ![]() The cone, however, does not represent uncertainty specific to that storm. The line in the middle of the cone is the forecasted track, with the cone around it representing uncertainty. In following up with Sobel on this point, he gave the example of the “cone forecasts” put out by the NHC (see image with Sandy and Joaquin forecasts at about three and five days out). They rely on the main messages and graphics put out by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Weather Channel, and their local weather stations. For ease of public understanding, the uncertainty is often not fully explained, though Sobel makes the point that the uncertainty information is there for those who look for it.īut, of course, many people can’t dedicate the time to delving through websites to find and interpret this technical information. When forecasters relay their predictions, they do so with varying explanations of how they arrived at them and what their uncertainty is. Sobel also explains how forecasters look at a variety of weather models and use their best judgment to predict how a storm will unfold. And, many of them are only from satellites, which tend to be less precise compared to land-based data.” In tropical areas, especially over water, we don’t have as many observations. we can get good observations from a variety of sources, including weather stations, satellite data, weather balloons and even commercial airplanes with weather instruments. David Stensrud, chair of the department of meteorology at Pennsylvania State University, said there is a kind of data inequality between the continental systems and the tropical areas where hurricanes originate. Forecasters use observations to initiate computer models, so the more accurate the initial data, the more accurate the final forecasts. “If the forecast of a low-pressure system is off by 100 miles, it may make little difference to the weather in particular places.”Īnother issue is the data on which forecasts are based. ![]() “If a forecast of where a hurricane will be in three days is off by 100 miles, it will make the difference between a particular place receiving high winds and heavy rains, or having a nice sunny day,” said Emanuel. These physical differences make accurate forecasting more difficult for hurricanes. The strong winds and heavy rains of a hurricane cover a path that is usually 100 miles or so across, and they can change in less than a day ordinary low-pressure systems can be thousands of miles across and only change over several days, said Emanuel. While both systems consist of spinning centers of low pressure, according to the Kerry Emanuel, professor of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, hurricanes and land-based systems “have completely different physics.” Evaporation of ocean water fuels hurricanes, while land-based low-pressure systems are driven by horizontal temperature changes over land. Lives, livelihoods, and wider economic costs make such forecasting a high-stakes endeavor, but hurricanes remain harder to predict than the land-based weather systems that track across continents producing rain, snow, wind, and severe weather. Hurricane Joaquin has been yet another example of the complexity of predicting a hurricane’s path and strength. ![]()
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![]() ![]() This video shows one woman’s success with the program. The results that can be obtained from the 30 Day Shred are very impressive. Lose up to 20 pounds in 30 days with Jillian Michaels, winning trainer on NBCs 'The Biggest Loser'. The level 1 30 Day Shred routine is an effective and quick routine that focuses on blasting calories and fat. Jillian Michaels: 30 Day Shred (623) 8.6 1 h ALL. Calories Burned With The 30 Day Shred By Body Weight And TimeĪll calculations are based on the 20 minute workout set out in the program.Ħ0 Minutes – 952 Calories 30 Day Shred Workout Examples Level 1 30DS 30-Day Shred Overview Jillian Michaels is one of the most popular fitness experts worldwide and for good reason. Depending on your weight, you can burn 160 to 236 calories in 20 minutes. ![]() Lets take a look at the calorie burning power. Jillian Michaels’ 30 Day Shred Level 2 is a form of high-intensity circuit training. The time you spend working out may seem easy, however the workouts are intense! It incorporates cardio, ab workouts, and some light weights and promises to provide amazing results. Fitness expert Suaad Ghadban drops by Global News Morning to show Laura Casella the 'Jillian Michael's 30-day-shred.' Report an error. As your own personal trainer, Jillian will guide you through her. ![]() The program is based on working out for 30 consecutive days for twenty minutes a day. Jillian Michaels is TVs toughest trainer, but she is committed to getting big results. This complex is specially prepared for people who are not constantly involved in sports, but who want to lose weight. The popular home workout program, 30 Day Shred, has been sweeping the nation with it’s extravagant claims of inches lost. Here is an effective 30-day course of exercise from the expert in the world of fitness - Jillian Michaels. ![]() ![]() ![]() Hi, I recently tried your extension and it looks great! Thanks for your work. TexturePacker does this for you - with a single click. If you want to use normal mapped sprites for dynamic light effects in your game, you have to create sprite sheets with the same layout for normal maps and diffuse maps. You can even hand off the sprite sheet creation to your artist. The free TexturePacker Importer plugin for Unity automatically re-imports the data as soon as you re-enter Unity's editor. ![]() The polygon packing mode generates tightly packed sprite sheets, reducing the memory amount compared to rectangular packing algorithms. You see all changes applied to the sprite sheet in real time. TexturePacker comes with an easy to use UI that allows you to manage the sprite sheets. The tracer tolerance slider gives you control over the optimization. TexturePacker's high-quality polygon tracer creates meshes with a low vertex count and overdraw. A too low vertex count, on the other hand, is also bad because this hands much work over to the GPU. So reducing the number of vertices is important. Vertices are expensive - because the CPU is required to transform them. Unity creates triangle meshes for all sprites - but the generated meshes often have too many vertices and high overdraw. Use the free TexturePacker Importer from Unity asset store to easily import the sprite sheets into Unity. Pack normal maps for 2d dynamic light effects.Easily manage & pack sprite sheets for you Unity project. ![]() Increase the performance of your game with optimized sprite meshes (Unity 5).So to conclude I am not convinced is a solution for this and I would expect performance to rise, not drop.TexturePacker helps you accomplish things that are hard to do with Unity alone: There is also an article on the Texturepacker website about large performance increase with polygon packing:Īnd they supply another realworld example where this is very useful and very efficient: But for the latter, you know lot more about that then I am. This feature will not only make spritesheets much smaller in a lot of cases, like a post of yourself state above, even the drawcalls could be faster, because instead of drawing a large rectangle only the smaller polygons needs to be drawn. With normal spritesheets this would result in a very large spritesheet, where all images need full rectangles, eventhough they are transparent for large regions that would result in a much larger spritesheet and takes much more time to load. And on the right you see two triangles can use the same space resulting in 50% decrease in used space. You can see here the large round shape now allow the small shapes to fill the transparent hole that normally is just large missing space. With polygon packing we could make spritesheets a lot smaller, like this simplified example (every different color is a different sprite): That could be filled with the smaller images that now has to go outside the rectangles of these transparent images. I figured for a lot of projects there are lots of blanks in spritesheets because the images are 100% transparent on large regions. What I am looking for is a way to keep spritesheets as small and efficient as possible in width and height to have faster loading times. ![]() I just took a quick look at that repo, so I might be missing something here, but I don't see any reason why polygon packing needs to compromise performance during animation and need Spine. The README states it even requires the Spine plugin (eventhough we don't use Spine in a project) and it says it costs performance to use it. But for just polygon packing that plugin seems a bit overload for just polygon packing. Thanks for the nice tip about pixi-heaven. ![]() ![]() The patch should be applied now without disabling SIP forever.
![]() ![]() ![]() With this Doodle Devil helper, you can solve all the elements and items in no time. Combine Em Up Doodle Devil 3volution Brings Hell To Switch This March. This fun creation game was developed by JoyBits and you can play it online and for free on . If the game youre playing doesnt have any in-game cheats, then try Googling to. Use the search and filter list to help you walkthrough the different combo recipes fast. Doodle Devil is the sequel to Doodle God, an addictive puzzle game in which you have to find all elements in the universe by mixing given elements to make new ones. Devil's Dozen (Bronze): Create 13 different elements. Successfully complete one of the following tasks to get a trophy: Combo (Bronze): Create two new elements in a row. Across many games of Roblox there are codes that can be redeemed to get you a jump start at growing your character or furthering your progress! We've been compiling these for many different games, and have put all of those games in a convenient to use list! We've got up-to-date Roblox Game Codes for all your favorite games which can be found below.īe sure to bookmark this page so you can come back for more codes as they are updated. Doodle Devil is an online puzzle game developed by Avallon Alliance Ltd., and has been played 604313 times on . This combo list contains 190 combinations for Doodle Devil the game. Doodle Devil Cheats, Codes, Cheat Codes, Walkthrough, Guide, FAQ, Unlockables for PS Vita. ![]() ![]() 7 Moon KL Jr, Federle MP, Abrams DI, Volberding P, Lewis BJ.Mesenteric adenopathy in patients with prostate cancer: frequency and etiology. 6 Coakley FV, Lin RY, Schwartz LH, Panicek DM.Diverticulitis versus colon cancer: differentiation with helical CT findings. 5 Chintapalli KN, Chopra S, Ghiatas AA, Esola CC, Fields SF, Dodd GD 3rd.Computed tomography in recurrent or metastatic colon cancer: relation to rising serum carcinoembryonic antigen. ![]()
![]() ![]() ![]() When it’s all downloaded, the user’s device must parse and execute the JavaScript before it can even start to construct the page. Modern fashionable development techniques, such as React, require a lot of JavaScript to be sent to the user. When Tim Berners-Lee invented the World Wide Web in 1989, there was no JavaScript, no CSS, only HTML.Īlthough HTML has changed greatly over 30 years, expanding from its original 18 tags to well over 120, it retains its central importance: it is the foundational technology for the web. For now, we will focus on teaching you how to build rather than design. The code used to make them visually appealing is known as CSS and we shall focus on this in a later tutorial. HTML is used to create pages and make them functional. HTML is the language in which most websites are written. In order to begin to write HTML, it helps if you know what you are writing. Okay, so this is the only bit of mandatory theory. The aim is to show you ‘how’ to create your first web page without spending the entire tutorial focusing too much on the “why.”īy the end of this tutorial, you will have the know-how to create a basic website and we hope that this will inspire you to delve further into the world of HTML using our follow-on guides. While many guides on the internet attempt to teach HTML using a lot of mind-boggling theory, this tutorial will instead focus on giving you the practical skills to build your first site. HTML is simultaneously backward compatible and future-proof. Sites based on good HTML will also be robust – even if the styles and scripts fail to load, the content will be available. Browsers incrementally render HTML-that is, they will display a partially downloaded web page to the user while the browser awaits the remaining files from the server. If your site is based on good HTML, it will load fast. That means how to layout an HTML document, how to add various elements such as: This step-by-step guide teaches you the basics of HTML markup language and how to build your first website. ![]() Whether you are a novice, hoping to jump into the website design industry, or an experienced webmaster keen to refresh your programming knowledge, this html5 step to step guide can serve as a reference base for more experienced programmers or as a starting HTML tutorial for fledgling website designers. ![]() ![]() ![]() three cartoon characters illustration, Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel: Original Motion Soundtrack The Chipettes YouTube, meet, mammal, carnivoran png 620圆09px 591.87KB.Alvin and the Chipmunks Alvin Seville YouTube Simon, 3, mammal, cat Like Mammal png 1500x1188px 432.08KB.Theodore Seville Alvin and the Chipmunks Simon The Chipettes, mammal, face png 1860x2480px 2.53MB.Alvin and the Chipmunks Eleanor The Chipettes Theodore Seville, television, child png 985圆46px 125.14KB.Theodore Seville Alvin Seville Alvin and the Chipmunks Simon, simon, mammal, vertebrate png 600x582px 381.16KB.Simon Chipmunk Alvin Seville Theodore Seville Dave Seville, mammal, vertebrate png 877x1339px 1.23MB.Dave Seville Simon Alvin and the Chipmunks Film The Chipettes, mammal, vertebrate png 410x800px 352.62KB.Alvin and the Chipmunks Alvin Seville Dave Seville The Chipettes, Alvin And The Chipmunks, mammal, vertebrate png 1176x1080px 1.7MB.Alvin and the Chipmunks in film Alvin Seville Theodore Seville Simon, Squirrels, mammal, vertebrate png 1280x720px 229.26KB.Alvin of Alvin and the Chimpmunks, Alvin Seville Alvin and the Chipmunks YouTube Theodore Seville, chip, electronics, mammal png 1172x2000px 2.07MB.Alvin and Chipmunks art, Alvin Seville Alvin and the Chipmunks Theodore Seville The Chipettes, Chipmunk s, mammal, cat Like Mammal png 1200x949px 1.22MB.Non-commercial use, DMCA Contact Us Relevant png images ![]() ![]() ![]() However, I found that its performance doesn't match the $500-$600 asking price with a surprisingly over-bright sound.
![]() Merging several methods of data collection, namely interviews to the Pandu Logistics (internal), as well as documentation of several newspapers, journals, books, and articles (external). The data obtained through triangulation technique that is Technological factors, while the internal environment analysis through the functional approach underlying the strategy formulation (Marketing, Operational and Human Resources) and knowing how the implementation of strategic planning based on the analysis of the four framework Steps and six principles of blue ocean strategy in Pandu Logistics This research can be classified as explorative descriptive research with case study approach. The external environmental analysis variables carried out are economic, socio-cultural, and In this study describes the vision, and mission, analyze the external and internal environment. This research aims to analyze strategic planning with Blue Ocean Strategy approach on Pandu Logistics delivery service. Logistics dapat semakin berkembang baik di lingkup lokal, maupun global (nasional internasional) sesuai dengan Visi Pandu Logistics. Dijalankannya Strategic Planing dengan pendekatan BOS, diharapkan kedepannya Pandu yakni: (1) Merekonstruksi batasan pasar, (2) Fokus gambaran besar, bukan pada angka, (3) Menjangkau pasar hingga tingkat non-konsumen, (4) Menjalankan rangkaian strategis secara benar, (5) Mengatasi rintangan organisasi, dan (6) Menjalankan eksekusi strategi. Hasil dari kerangka kerja ini memunculkan metode baru yang dapat meningkatkan loyalitas konsumen terhadap jasa pengiriman Pandu Logistics.ĭalam upaya memasuki Blue Ocean Strategy, Pandu Logistics telah menerapkan enam prinsip Blue Ocean Strategy yang mendorong pelaksanaan strategi BOS. Upaya peningkatan yang dilakukan oleh Pandu Logistics adalah meningkatkan promosi, pelayanan, kualitas SDM, serta fasilitas yang ada. ![]() ![]() Pandu Logistics menghapus dan mengurangi faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi kinerja karyawan serta kepuasan konsumen. Menerapkan inovasi nilai melalui kerangka kerja empat langkah H-K-T-C (hapuskan-kurangitingkatkan- ciptakan). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa strategic planning dilakukan dengan mengetahui gambaran perusahaan (visi dan misi Pandu Logistics) serta dengan memanfaatkan peluang dan kesempatan yang dimiliki perusahaan, sehingga perusahaan dapat Teknik analisa yang digunakan adalah analisa kualitatif (naratif). Yakni penggabungan beberapa metode pengumpulan data, yakni wawancara kepada pihak Pandu Logistics (internal), serta dokumentasi beberapa surat kabar, jurnal, buku, dan artikel (eksternal). Data diperoleh melalui teknik triangulasi Penelitian ini dapat diklasifikasikan sebagai penelitian deskriptif eksploratif (explorative descriptive research) dengan pendekatan studi kasus (case study). Internal melalui pendekatan fungsional yang melandasi perumusan strategi (Pemasaran, Operasional, dan Sumber Daya Manusia) serta mengetahui bagaimana penerapan strategic planning yang didasarkan pada analisa kerangka kerja empat langkah dan enam prinsip blue ocean strategy pada Pandu Logistics. Variabel analisa lingkungan eksternal yang dilakukan adalah faktor ekonomi, sosial budaya, dan teknologi, sedangkan analisis lingkungan ![]() Dalam penelitian ini mendeskripsikan visi, dan misi, menganalisis lingkungan eksternal maupun internal. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa perencanaan strategi dengan pendekatan Blue Ocean Strategy pada jasa pengiriman Pandu Logistics. Pandu Siwi Sentosa (Pandu Logistics) Malang. Rakhman, Mohammad Arif (2017) Perencanaan Strategi Dengan Pendekatan Blue Ocean PT PANDU LOGISTICS (3) R.docx Uploaded by ![]() © © All Rights Reserved Available FormatsĭOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd Did you find this document useful? Is this contentĢ08 views 74 pages PT Pandu Logistics (3) R Original Title: Uploaded byAnonymous aKYwOikJ0% found this document useful (0 votes) AbstractDalam penelitian ini membahas masalah pemilihan strategi pemasaran yang cocok bagi perusahaan berdasarkan data-data yang diperoleh dari perusahaan, dimana strategi pemasaran merupakan salah satu cara untuk mendukung program pemasaran guna meningkatkan volume penjualan jasa perusahaan. ![]() |